Trump has taken good care of Pastor Andrew Brunson in order to strengthen his Evangelical vote. However, how will this affect relations with Turkey?
While the U.S.-Turkey relationship has to somewhat matured over Syria, the issue of U.S. support for the YPG continues to remain the factor of divergence.
When the U.S. decides to return to its role as global leader, it’ll find that things have changed drastically.
The deal reached between Turkey and Russia may have just saved thousands of innocent lives in Idlib.
“Given the strong rhetoric used by the U.S. against the Assad regime especially with regard to its potential chemical weapons use, Russia might not be so eager to deploy its air support to the regime any time soon.”
“The Syrian Civil War, which has been raging for more than seven years, is entering a new phase, as the Assad regime is threatening to take over Idlib with Russian air support. This may very well be the end of the opposition as we know it since Idlib remains the last opposition stronghold.”
“Russia and Iran need to make sure that the situation in Idlib does not result in a disaster that Turkey has to handle on its own. This would not only alienate Turkey as it creates real dangers against Turkish interests but will also delay a potential political deal for Syria.”
Trumpian foreign policy will continue to damage U.S. credibility and standing within its allies as well as its competitors. While U.S. allies like Europe and Turkey are going to struggle to effectively address these challenges, they are unlikely to simply roll over.
Both Europe and Turkey will have to figure out a way to work with a unilateralist U.S. administration in order to protect their economic interests as well as energy needs
“If the Trump administration goes down the road of unilateralism seeking to force Turkey’s hand, the relationship will only suffer damaging the national interest of both allies.”