Following the suppression of the July 15 coup attempt in Turkey, the unfinished democratization project of civil-military relations entered a new phase.
“The AK Party’s primacy in the domestic distribution of power capabilities is one of the most salient features of the current Turkish politics, but the new dynamics with regards to the new system requires more cooperation to sustain its supremacy.”
The election results brought more space for maneuver for President Erdogan in domestic politics, but the foreign policy challenges are still crucial as they were in the pre-election period.
Turkey’s removal from the F-35 program will not eliminate potential risks by Russia. It will only hamper NATO influence in the region and further deteriorate Turkish-American relations, as part of a lose-lose scenario.
This is the first comprehensive counter-terror operation against the PKK. This time, the military strategy is not only targeting to eliminate PKK terrorists but also aiming to clean and hold the territory where the PKK has any presence.
While the Manbij agreement will not cure all problems between the U.S. and Turkey, it is definite that this deal will open a new page in bilateral relations.
The people who serve “Trumpian diplomacy” are ultra-radical, neocon and pro-interventionists. When the other ultra-radical leaders in the region are taken into consideration, the region’s future does not appear to be bright.
President Erdogan’s new way in pursuing foreign policy is a strategy to firstly save the country and to turn it into a regional powerhouse later on.
While the U.S. reaffirmed their support for the established bilateral process to find a common way forward on Manbij, and underlined the U.S’s commitment to support Turkey’s national security concerns, Turkey recalled that the U.S. should take concentrate steps to end YPG presence in Manbij.
The political opposition in Turkey ought to find a different strategy other than “anti-Erdoganism,” as this will not win them an election.