By trying to appeal to the left in Turkey, the HDP is increasingly pushing away its core Kurdish nationalist vote.
Due to the failure of ethnic Kurdish political parties in Turkey failing to form a coalition among themselves, it seems like the race in obtaining the vote of the Kurdish electorate is going to remain between the AK Party and the HDP.
The, what can be called, “Kurdish opening,” of Muharrem Ince is one that will lose him votes to traditional, secular-nationalist CHP voters.
The AK Party’s campaign will show as to whether the coalition with the MHP will affect how the Kurdish electorate will vote.
The electoral behavior of Turkey’s Kurds with regard to the AK Party and Erdogan vis a vis the HDP shows that President Erdogan has become a much tougher challenge for the HDP in comparison to the AK Party as a whole.
“Erdogan knows that he will win in any pairwise election and that is the reason why he presents the elections in dichotomies as in the case of “me versus him.” In a nutshell, if politics is a game, Erdogan knows how to play it.”
April 2018 strikes gave the message to Assad that the volume of strikes will increase if he uses chemical attacks once again. But the very same message tells Assad that he is quite secure if he satisfies with killing his own citizens with weapons other than chemical weapons.
Despite having different interests in Syria, Turkey, Iran and Russia ought to give each other benefit of the doubt in order to secure Syria’s territorial integrity.
“Turkey’s “allies” that arm, train, and protect the PKK may keep the group safe in some zones for some time, but this was not enough to stop Turkey in Afrin and may not be enough in the next battleground.”
The easy takeover of Afrin was a result of strategic planning, but not of the PKK. Turkey planned and executed how the city would be captured with full control from day one.