Ömer Özkizilcik

Ömer Özkizilcik

Ömer Özkizilcik currently works at the Security Department of the SETA Foundation in Ankara and is the Editor-in-Chief of Suriye Gündemi.
Will One Million People return to Syria's Safe Zone

Will One Million People return to Syria's Safe Zone?

September 19, 2019
It is clear that if 350,000 Syrian refugees returned back to the tiny areas of northern Aleppo and Afrin, the return of one million to the vast areas of the safe-zone along the Turkish-Syrian border isn’t unachievable.
How Conflicts between CENTCOM and EUCOM threaten the Turkey-US Safe

How Conflicts between CENTCOM and EUCOM threaten the Turkey-US Safe Zone Deal

September 11, 2019
The latest action by CENTCOM of conducting joint patrols with a YPG front group immediately after the Turkish-American joint patrol at the border region, indicates that CENTCOM knows how to sabotage the deal, and is willing to do so to reassert its position as the main policy-maker in Syria vis-a-vis EUCOM.
YPG's Retaliation Against the Press Kurdistan 24 Case

YPG's Retaliation Against the Press: Kurdistan 24 Case

September 4, 2019
Since the launch of the Operation Claw by Turkey, the PKK has lost strategic hills in the Hakurk region, and the PKK has accused the KRG of collaboration with Ankara. YPG's recent move against Kurdistan 24 can also be seen as an attempt to retaliate in the name of the PKK against the KRG in northern Iraq.
What If the Worst-Case Scenario Happens in Idlib

What If the Worst-Case Scenario Happens in Idlib?

August 27, 2019
With the support of the EU states and the US, Turkey could convince Russia to establish a security belt in Idlib. Such a move would require Turkey to take control over a certain area in Idlib following the Euphrates Shield model.
After Raids against Turkish Forces a New Approach is Needed

After Raids against Turkish Forces, a New Approach is Needed for Idlib

August 20, 2019
Assuming that no miracle will happen soon, the Turkish authorities need a new approach for Idlib. This should start with reaching an evacuation deal and securing the safety of trapped soldiers in Morek.
What Will Happen to Turkish Observation Posts in Idlib

What Will Happen to Turkish Observation Posts in Idlib?

August 15, 2019
There seem to be four pathways for Turkey: Withdrawing, escalating, postponing or preventing. Each of which will have its own implications and risks.
Why the YPG Can t Fight Against Turkey

Why the YPG Can’t Fight Against Turkey

August 6, 2019
The YPG doesn’t have the experience of the rebels in Idlib who have fought for years against an enemy with air-power. The YPG has become too used to air-support and their experience in war without air support is mainly limited to its loss of 200 villages in a week south of Ayn al-Arab (Kobane) in its fight against Daesh.
Russia s Escalation in Idlib What s the Purpose

Russia’s Escalation in Idlib: What’s the Purpose?

July 31, 2019
If Turkey and the Syrian opposition fail to stand firm, the political transition process towards peace in Syria might fail.
Can Russia Install its Kadyrov in Syria

Can Russia Install its Kadyrov in Syria?

July 23, 2019
Russia can find its Syrian Kadyrov. However, in contrast to Chechnya, Russia needs to balance and share power with another actor or risk an entire new conflict dynamic to evolve in Syria.
A Turkish-American Confrontation in Northeast Syria is Avoidable

A Turkish-American Confrontation in Northeast Syria is Avoidable

July 17, 2019
A common understanding between Turkey and the U.S. is the establishment of a safe-zone in northeast Syria. However, both sides cannot agree on the depth and the forces controlling the region.